2025 MLB全壘打 大賽全面解析：八大怪物打者誰能轟出冠軍榮耀？
2025年 MLB全壘打大賽 即將於7月15日（台灣時間）在亞特蘭大的Truist Park點燃戰火，本屆參賽陣容雖缺乏過往的明星光環，但火力爆表的潛力卻令人期待。根據本屆「運動新聞」預測，沒有任何一位打者來自去年明星賽，卻全數具備壓倒性的力量與爆發力。此外，今年的賽制再次優化：首輪選手有3分鐘或40球發揮時間，之後進入不限時但僅能失手三次的延長輪，還可因擊出超過425呎的全壘打而獲得額外一次失誤容許，精彩程度預期將直線飆升！
⚾ 賽制進化，全壘打大賽更具觀賞性
與過往不同的是，今年的全壘打大賽賽制在保留競技強度的同時，進一步簡化了觀戰理解。第一輪所有選手皆以計時與球數雙重限制決勝，前四強再進入以兩分鐘或27球為限的準決賽與決賽，讓整體流程更緊湊、更精準，也讓「運動新聞」報導時更能聚焦於實力而非機運。不累積擊球總數的設計，也強調了每一輪的重新起跑，激發球員即戰力的最大極限。
🏟️ 球場環境：誰將善用Truist Park的空間優勢？
主場Truist Park屬於中性球場，但對左打者略為友善，右外野較左外野短10呎。然而右外野高達16呎的牆面可能限制低弧線打者發揮，相對而言，左外野僅6呎的矮牆更容易出現平飛球轟出全壘打。這樣的場地條件，對於像卡爾·羅利（Cal Raleigh）這樣擅長左右開弓的打者極為有利。此外，詹姆斯·伍德（James Wood）擁有中心與反方向力量，將可能成為本屆的最大黑馬之一。
🔥 本屆八位參賽者火力與數據總覽
從下表可見，本屆參賽者的全壘打成績、擊球距離與出速皆屬菁英之列：
| 球員 | 球隊 | 全壘打數 | 最遠全壘打 | 擊球初速最高 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 卡爾·羅利 (Cal Raleigh) | 水手 | 38 | 440呎 | 114.7 mph |
| 詹姆斯·伍德 (James Wood) | 國民 | 24 | 451呎 | 116.3 mph |
| 小卡米內羅 (Junior Caminero) | 光芒 | 23 | 425呎 | 110.6 mph |
| 拜倫·巴克斯頓 (Byron Buxton) | 雙城 | 21 | 479呎 | 112.5 mph |
| 布倫特·魯克 (Brent Rooker) | 運動家 | 20 | 440呎 | 110 mph |
| 馬特·歐爾森 (Matt Olson) | 勇士 | 17 | 434呎 | 113.4 mph |
| 賈茲·奇澤姆 (Jazz Chisholm Jr.) | 洋基 | 17 | 442呎 | 110.9 mph |
| 奧尼爾·克魯茲 (Oneil Cruz) | 海盜 | 16 | 463呎 | 122.9 mph |
👉 請參考上方【2025年MLB全壘打大賽參賽者數據】表格（已展示）
👑 勢不可擋：羅利的「捕手奇蹟」之路
卡爾·羅利（Cal Raleigh）目前以38轟穩坐聯盟全壘打王，且全數發生於上半季，極具代表性。不僅創下捕手歷史新高紀錄，還距離貝瑞·邦茲（Barry Bonds）在2001年創下的半季39轟僅一步之遙。雖然由父親擔任投手可能影響穩定度，但從近幾年「運動新聞」觀察來看，家庭連結常激發潛力，本屆或許有望迎來史上首位奪冠的捕手！
MLB HR leaders since June 15th:
Nick Kurtz – 12
Cal Raleigh – 12pic.twitter.com/dJHOfNQmV4— Underdog MLB (@UnderdogMLB) July 13, 2025
🧱 高牆的挑戰：伍德能否突破心理與牆面？
詹姆斯·伍德（James Wood）擁有116.3 mph的擊球初速與451呎的遠距離轟炸力，是本屆長打距離與出速的雙冠選手之一。他的攻擊分布極為平均，尤其是MLB最多的11支「中間方向」全壘打顯示其應對力極強。然而他為左打者，可能受限於Truist Park高牆阻擋，若想奪冠需戰術上調整角度。
華盛頓國民方面，雖然戰績不如預期，但年輕外野手詹姆斯·伍德（James Wood）持續有高效率輸出，目前已累積22支全壘打、65打點，打擊率達到0.283，是國民攻勢核心。
💫 健康即奇蹟：巴克斯頓為主場再奮力一擊
拜倫·巴克斯頓（Byron Buxton）不僅是本屆最年長的參賽者，還是少數於故鄉參戰的球員。他的479呎全壘打為本季第二遠，而112.5 mph的擊球初速亦相當驚人。雖然過往屢遭傷勢纏身，但本次在喬治亞參賽將充滿情感張力，若能一路衝進決賽，對家鄉球迷絕對是最感人至深的「運動新聞」畫面。
BYRON BUXTON HOMERS TO COMPLETE THE CYCLE
ON HIS BOBBLEHEAD DAY 🤯 pic.twitter.com/fCbjgzRUzd
— MLB (@MLB) July 12, 2025
🐆 最快擊球者：克魯茲的怪力極限會爆發嗎？
奧尼爾·克魯茲（Oneil Cruz）堪稱「現役最暴力的打者」，其122.9 mph的擊球初速創下史上最高紀錄。雖然整體打擊率僅0.209，但他打出463呎全壘打與高速揮棒速度可謂殺機四伏。若他當天節奏順暢，幾乎無人能擋。唯一的疑慮是其穩定性與揮棒選擇，是否能在極短時間內頻繁打出完美擊球。
Oneil Cruz has such a satisfying home run swing.
It’s rhythmic, relaxed, and violent all at once.pic.twitter.com/Xi9oBg5ezS
— Cameron Powell (@CamsPressBox) July 9, 2025
🎷 雙打與爵士：奇澤姆如何以輕量打者挑戰強權？
賈茲·奇澤姆（Jazz Chisholm Jr.）的優勢在於經驗，他曾多次參加巴哈馬的Don’t Blink全壘打大賽，早已習慣大舞台。然而他是場中體型最小的選手，需用更劇烈的揮棒補足力量，在長時間競技下體力是否負荷是一大考驗。此外，其442呎的實戰轟炸證明他具備資格挑戰強敵，但能否持久仍需關注。
Jazz Chisholm Jr. goes yard as he continues to stay hot since he returned from injury a month ago! pic.twitter.com/iYHQVRYwhc
— Talkin’ Yanks (@TalkinYanks) June 29, 2025
🏆 綜合預測：誰最有望奪下冠軍？
綜合「運動新聞」編輯部觀察與數據比較，以下三位選手最具奪冠潛力：
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卡爾·羅利（Cal Raleigh） — 火力最猛，紀錄在望。
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詹姆斯·伍德（James Wood） — 打擊分布穩定，爆發力驚人。
-
奧尼爾·克魯茲（Oneil Cruz） — 如果狀態來了，幾乎無人可擋。
至於拜倫·巴克斯頓則是本屆「情感面冠軍」的熱門人選，在地球迷勢必給予最大支持。
🏟️ 2025 MLB Home Run Derby Preview: Power, Drama, and a New Format Await
The 2025 MLB Home Run Derby is set to ignite on July 15 (Taiwan Time) at Truist Park in Atlanta. While this year’s lineup lacks former All-Stars, it’s packed with raw power and breakout potential. None of the participants appeared in last year’s All-Star Game, but all bring explosive strength. The updated format includes a 3-minute or 40-pitch round, followed by a no-time-limit swing-off allowing three outs, with a bonus out granted for home runs over 425 feet. The action promises to be electric!
⚾ Format Tweaks Boost Competitiveness and Clarity
This year’s format strikes a balance between excitement and viewer-friendly clarity. The opening round features a time and pitch cap, while the semifinals and finals are limited to 2 minutes or 27 swings per player. Each round resets without cumulative totals, sharpening the focus on immediate performance. For media coverage like ours, that means less luck, more skill. It also ensures a faster pace and more thrilling showdowns, perfect for spotlighting elite hitters on a big stage.
🏟️ Field Conditions: Can Truist Park’s Layout Favor Lefty Power?
Truist Park is a neutral venue but leans slightly friendly to left-handed hitters, with the right field fence 10 feet shorter than left. However, the 16-foot wall in right can challenge low-trajectory hitters, while the 6-foot wall in left is more home-run friendly. This setup could favor switch-hitter Cal Raleigh, while James Wood—with his ability to drive the ball to center and opposite field—may quietly emerge as a dark horse champion.
🔥 Derby Participants & Power Metrics at a Glance
Let’s examine this year’s Home Run Derby contenders based on home run count, max distance, and exit velocity:
| Player | Team | HRs | Longest HR | Max EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Mariners | 38 | 440 ft | 114.7 mph |
| James Wood | Nationals | 24 | 451 ft | 116.3 mph |
| Junior Caminero | Rays | 23 | 425 ft | 110.6 mph |
| Byron Buxton | Twins | 21 | 479 ft | 112.5 mph |
| Brent Rooker | Athletics | 20 | 440 ft | 110 mph |
| Matt Olson | Braves | 17 | 434 ft | 113.4 mph |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Yankees | 17 | 442 ft | 110.9 mph |
| Oneil Cruz | Pirates | 16 | 463 ft | 122.9 mph |
👑 Cal Raleigh: The Catcher Chasing History
Cal Raleigh currently leads the league with 38 home runs, all from the first half, nearing Barry Bonds’ 2001 midseason record of 39. As a catcher, this achievement is historic. While his dad pitching to him could create inconsistency, family dynamics often unlock emotion-fueled performances. If Raleigh keeps pace, he could become the first catcher to win the Home Run Derby—a potential feel-good moment for baseball history.
🧱 James Wood: Wall of Power Meets Wall of Pressure
James Wood boasts 116.3 mph exit velocity and a 451-foot blast, leading this year’s class in both categories. He has already hit 11 center-field home runs, displaying an even spray chart and remarkable adaptability. However, as a lefty, he faces the challenge of Truist Park’s tall right-field wall. To win, he must adjust his trajectory and remain consistent—an achievable goal for this breakout Nationals slugger with a .283 average and 65 RBIs.
💫 Byron Buxton: Homegrown Hero with One More Swing
Veteran Byron Buxton enters the Derby as its oldest participant and one with emotional stakes, competing near his Georgia roots. He hit a 479-foot bomb, the second-longest this season, and has maintained an impressive 112.5 mph exit velocity. Despite recurring injuries, his return home could spark a magical run. If he reaches the final, expect it to be the most emotionally charged storyline of the 2025 Home Run Derby.
🐆 Oneil Cruz: Will MLB’s Hardest-Hitter Go Nuclear?
Oneil Cruz owns the record for the highest exit velocity in MLB history at 122.9 mph, along with a monstrous 463-foot home run. Although his batting average is only .209, his raw power is unmatched. On a good day, his violent, rhythmic swing can dominate any round. The biggest question is whether he can maintain consistency and selective discipline in the pressure-packed, fast-paced Derby environment.
🎷 Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Underdog Rhythm in a Power Show
Though Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the smallest competitor, his Don’t Blink HR Derby experience in the Bahamas makes him a seasoned performer. His swing is dynamic, and he’s hit a 442-foot shot this season, proving he can go deep. However, his stamina may be tested against bulkier sluggers. If Jazz can endure the physical grind, he could turn this Derby into a stage for the unlikeliest champion of 2025.
🏆 Final Prediction: Three Names to Watch for the Title
Based on our editorial analysis, the three most likely champions are:
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Cal Raleigh – Unstoppable form, near-record pace
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James Wood – Balanced power, breakout potential
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Oneil Cruz – Peak performance could obliterate competition
Meanwhile, Byron Buxton remains the sentimental favorite. A victory in his home state would be the emotional highlight of the MLB summer.
